PSG to Win Champions League Final vs Inter?

Will Chace
By , Updated on: May 16, 2025 12:00 AM
ucl final prediction

Paris Saint-Germain and Internazionale will play each other in a European match for the first time ever, and in no better setting than the Champions League final. After an exciting match against Barcelona that was largely hailed as the greatest two-legged cup tie in European history, Inter is back for the whole thing. Continue reading to get an expert UCL final prediction and explore stats and tips to bet PSG vs Inter.

  • Paris Saint-Germain vs Internazionale Milano
  • UEFA Champions League final
  • May 31, 2025
  • 3 PM EST
  • Allianz Arena, Munich,
  • Paramount+

PSG vs Inter Odds: UCL Final Prediction

The favorites to win the Champions League for the first time are PSG. The Parisians had until regulation time to get the job. At (+230), Inter is not far away, which is good for an implied likelihood of 30.3%. At (+236), a draw is very possible, which of course would force extra time and penalties if necessary.

Champions League BetOnline BetUS BetNow
PSG +123 +122 +122
Inter +230 +228 +228
Draw +235 +236 +236

Want to better understand the 3-way moneyline (1X2) market? Explore the best Champions League betting odds.

PSG Knocking on Door of First Champions League Title

What appeared to be a Champions League catastrophe for PSG has now become a victory. PSG's backs were against the wall after home losses to Atletico Madrid, away losses to Arsenal and Bayern, and a draw with PSV. The team persevered and avoided an embarrassing early exit after having to collect at least six points in their last three games.

Still irritated by European ers' disparaging remarks about the strength of 's Ligue 1, PSG sought to challenge the European narrative. PSG advanced past strong opponents in the UCL while keeping an undefeated domestic record for the majority of the season. For Luis Enrique, the former Barcelona manager whose tenure as manager of the Spanish national team ended with no titles, this season feels like a revenge tour. 

PSG and its home nation would both greatly savor a Champions League win. The only French team to win the premier European trophy to date is Marseille, who defeated Milan in 1993. Italian teams are experiencing a similar lack of recent success; Mourinho's Inter won the Champions League in 2010, the last Italian club to do so.

In Munich, PSG is aiming for a huge fan attendance. In an attempt to outnumber Inter's infamous Ultras group, PSG is requesting that ers arrive "by plane, car, or even scooter." PSG is also putting their money where their mouth is by paying for the flights of all 600 club staff to Allianz Arena to watch the historic event. 

PSG To Win
BetOnline
+123

Inter to Break Italian Champions League Drought?

After a year off, Inter returns to the final with an exciting 7-6 aggregate victory over Barcelona in the UCL semifinals. Since 2003–04, when Porto defeated Monaco, this UCL final game is the first without a club from Spain, England, or . With essentially the same team from two years ago, one could argue that Inter's manager and players' experience provided them a little advantage over Bayern and Barcelona, both of which have lineups that are relatively young and inexperienced.

For instance, with only a few minutes left in the second leg, Barcelona had a 6-5 aggregate lead. However, Flick's Barcelona became avaricious and surged up the pitch instead of trying to control possession and hold onto their lead, which gave Inter a clear counterattack opportunity. Inter scored in extra time after that late equalization, securing their trip to Munich.

But as the season draws to a close, Inter will have to contend with challenges on several fronts. Napoli leads Inter by just one point, and the Scudetto is still up for grabs. As a result, Inter will have to keep playing their strongest team and run the danger of important players getting tired or hurt. Despite being known for its ability to function as a unit, the squad's roster is not as strong as PSG's. And after winning the title a few weeks ago, PSG won't have to worry about Ligue 1 results too much.

Inter To Win
BetNow
+228

PSG vs Inter UCL Final Prediction

It's difficult to believe that this is PSG and Inter's first encounter. Both teams had deep runs in the Champions League and have dominated their respective leagues for decades. The last time PSG advanced to the final was in 2020, but they lost to Bayern in the capital of Portugal. In 2023, Inter lost to treble-winning Man City in the final.

Compared to Inter, PSG had a far more difficult journey to the Champions League. With just 13 points, the Parisians narrowly made it to the knockout stages after a difficult league season. Inter began the matchweek with a bye after a good encounter with fellow French team Brest ended in a resounding 10-0 aggregate victory. Paris Saint-Germain swept aside brutal assignments against English teams Arsenal, Aston Villa, and Liverpool en route to the championship game.

On the other hand, Inter had meetings with representatives from three nations. First, after defeating Bayern in a close quarterfinal encounter, the reigning Scudetto champions eliminated Feyenoord. Their second final in three years comes before their well-documented matchup with Barcelona. That being said, how can we approach this from a betting standpoint?

2018 was the last final to end with more than 2.5 goals. Clubs become cautious under the spotlight and try to prevent errors, much like the betting patterns we observe in international competitions. As a result, teams that we are more used to seeing dominate their respective competitions adopt conservative strategies. Having said that, it is practically a given to take the under in this game.

I'll go with the under 2.5 goals at (-118), offered by BetUS, for my UCL final prediction.

Under 2.5 Total Goals
BetUS
-118

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Meet the author

Will Chace

From Boston, Will's ion for sports is more of a hereditary characteristic than a learned hobby. He regularly attends games in the area such as those of the Boston Red Sox, Boston Bruins, Boston Celtics, New England Patriots, New England Revolution. He also enjoys th...

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