Liverpool Slight Favorites at Anfield vs Arsenal

Liverpool hosts Arsenal this weekend, a fixture pitting the two best clubs in England against one another. With slightly different results throughout the domestic campaign, this match could have had pivotal title implications on the line. But Liverpool’s dominance in 2025 means they have already wrapped up a league title, while Arsenal still compete for European glory. Continue reading for an expert Liverpool vs Arsenal prediction and explore stats and tips for Arsenal betting.

• Liverpool FC vs Arsenal FC
• Premier League
• May 11, 2025
• 11:30 AM EST
• Anfield, Liverpool, England
• Telemundo, Fubo

Liverpool vs Arsenal Prediction: Who do Sportsbooks Favor?

Liverpool are slight favorites to win at Anfield and cement their reputation as the best club in England. The Reds are (+122) to win the match, good for an implied probability of 45%. Arsenal is lined at (+244) to win. A draw is lined similarly, with a payout priced at (+240). 

Want to better understand the 3-way moneyline (1X2) market? Explore the best Premier League betting odds.

Liverpool’s 2025 Season All But Wrapped Up

Out of the FA Cup, Champions League and League Cup, a potential quadruple trophy season has slowly dwindled to just one. Liverpool has already clinched the Premier League with three matches in hand. That means these last fixtures offer manager Arne Slot a chance to experiment with his lineup. Don’t be surprised if you see some unfamiliar faces donning the all-red uniforms this weekend.

It feels like a disappointment at this point that Liverpool are out of the picture for any other major trophies. But if you told a Liverpool er at the beginning of the year they would win the league, they would jump for joy. The outlook was bleak after losing generational leader Jurgen Klopp in the offseason, a departure cited by the German as catalyzed by exhaustion. But the Dutchman Slot quickly proved his mettle in England after years of success with Feyenoord. 

Now it feels Liverpool are destined for plenty of silverware in the next few seasons. The club recently locked up fan favorite Mo Salah to a long-term contract. Meanwhile, the Trent Alexander-Arnold saga continues to twist and turn as rumors swirl regarding the midfielder’s pending free agency. Raised in Merseyside, hometown hero Alexander-Arnold has appeared to have already burned bridges as he see-saws on his decision to stay with Liverpool or sign with Real Madrid.

It’s generally every boy’s dream to play for Real Madrid as a youngster, and I’m sure even a local hero like TAA cherishes the idea of one day playing at the Santiago Bernabeu. Reports indicate Alexander-Arnold may Real prior to the Club World Cup, a competition Real Madrid are favored to win for the second time in three years. The 2025 edition is especially coveted as it is the first to take place under the new quadrennial format.

Arteta Under Fire for Lineup Decisions After Defeat

With a Champions League semifinal looming midweek against PSG, manager Mikel Arteta elected to keep a full-strength lineup in Arsenal’s fixture with Bournemouth over the weekend. What a mistake that turned out to be. Not only did Arsenal fail to win, they were defeated by Bournemouth at home. Now the Gunners hold just a three-point lead for second in the league.

It is understandable for Arteta to still be concerned about clinching Champions League positions with a slim lead over 6th-placed Nottingham Forest. This visit to Anfield, compounded by a match with Newcastle next week, presents daunting challenges.

But Arsenal is just one match away from the Champions League Final, a time when future ambitions should be set aside for current opportunities. If Arteta’s men look lethargic in Paris on Wednesday, he could face some harsh criticism. Quite frankly, it wouldn’t be all too unwarranted.

Ever the equalizer, it was set-pieces that were the demise for the Gunners against Bournemouth. Known for their offensive set-piece prowess, converted long throws and corners doomed Arsenal in what should have been a close victory or draw at worst, given their performance in open play. 

Liverpool vs Arsenal Prediction: Free Arsenal Betting Pick

Arsenal has a propensity for playing in low-scoring affairs thanks to a rock-solid backline. Liverpool has a history of 1-0 victories in this competition this season as well. For most of the year, unders in matches at Anfield have shown some value in the betting market. At the beginning of the year, this was a result of Klopp’s heavy metal football departing in favor of Slot’s tactics. 

Now we have a match between the top-2 sides in the country just a few days after Arsenal arrives back from Paris. Expected a rotated squad for Arteta as he deals with post-UCL knocks. Liverpool will also feature some new names. What typically results from rotated lineups is hesitancy as the players grow accustomed to each other.

My projections have the under 2.5 goals lined at (-132), yet we are seeing plus-money available here. With subjective analysis already favoring the under from both sides, I think this is a clear spot to back a low-scoring match. I’d be surprised to see either side concede more than two goals, providing plenty of leverage on the smaller side of 2.75. BetOnline has the total at 2.75, so I will recommend a wager on the under at (-118). 

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